1. Win Chance ↔ Payout Multiplier
multiplier = (100 - edge) / chance.2. What Is This Site's Real House Edge?
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Lowest dice edge among the sites we tested: Stake at 1.00%. Full comparison on the best dice sites list. Not available to US players.3. Martingale Bust Probability
The math behind the calculator
Bitcoin dice payouts follow one formula: multiplier = (100 - house edge) / win chance. At the standard 1% edge, a 49.50% chance pays 2.0000x and a 10% chance pays 9.9x. Any site paying less than the formula for the same chance is charging a bigger edge; panel 2 exposes that instantly.
The martingale model computes the longest losing streak your bankroll can absorb, k = floor(log(1 + B/b x (m - 1)) / log(m)), then computes the exact probability of at least one k-long losing streak inside your planned number of rounds using the run-length recurrence, not a shortcut. Shortcuts matter here: for a 10-loss wall across 1,000 rolls the true bust chance is 41.3%, while common windowed approximations return anywhere from 10% to 65%. Our martingale guide cross-checks these numbers against brute-force simulation.
No calculator changes the expected value: every bet at a 1% edge costs 1% of the wager in the long run, whatever the staking pattern. That is exactly why we publish these tools next to our responsible gambling resources.